Fancy a punt?

BEING a fan of GAA and partial to an odd wager, TIALTNGO has decided to incorporate a GAA betting element to his blog. As much for a means of keeping track of my own profits and losses for the year (probably the latter) as anything, feel free to have a small punt on what we  suggest, if you feel its a bit of value. But don’t come crying to us when a last minute goal fecks up the accumulator, because chances are we’ll be crying too!

betting-cartoon

The plan is every Friday we’ll post our suggestions with a review of them the following Monday or Tuesday.

We enjoyed a good week last week when our 4/1 accumulator came in (Cork, Armagh (just), Tyrone (just) and Galway) while a very tasty 27/1 was denied by Crossmaglen, of all teams after Derry, Meath and Kildare had all come up trumps.

This week we’re putting on two bets on the NFL, one consists of games we reckon are nailed on, the second looks for the value bets.

The first bet is a 20euro accumulator with Ladbrokes on five teams who are all short priced so the pay-out is 220euro. Tyrone are 1/2 to beat a poor Donegal. Tyrone haven’t been at their best since the Dublin game but TIALTNGO expects Mickey Harte’s men to start turning it on and a poor Donegal team should be no match for them.

In our Mayo Dublin preview we confidently went for a home win and Ladbrokes price of 8/11 about us is too much value to ignore. In Division 3 we reckon there are two bankers. Cavan travel to play Offaly and their form since the Offaly players got rid of Richie Connor seems to suggest that the playing personel in Offaly is the problem and Cavan, who have impressed in recent weeks with consecutive wins over Down and Limerick, represent very goood value at 8/11.

Those last two named counties, Down and Limerick, face each other at the weekend in Limerick but Mickey Ned O’Sullivan’s side are starrring into the abyss of relegation. Down should travel with a stronger squad than in recent weeks and we’re taking them at 4/7.

We’re also dipping into Division 4 where Leitrim look nailed on to come away from Waterford with the points. Mickey Moran and John Morrison have been making steady progress while Waterford will still be reeling after losing to London last weekend. That, allied to the fact that they’re greatly weakened this year by the loss of the Hurney brothers to the hurling squad, makes this a straightforward game for Leitrim.

So the bet in total is Tyrone to beat Donegal (4/7); Mayo to beat Dublin (8/11); Cavan to beat Offaly (8/11); Down to beat Limerick (4/7) and Leitrim to beat Waterford (2/1). A nice 10/1 bet in total, here’s hoping.

For those looking for something a bit more pricey TIALTNGO’s second accumulator of the weekend is a 15/1 shot with Paddy Powers. Monaghan lost to in-form Kildare last week but Seamus McEnaney’s men will be well able to get back to winning ways in the push for promotion against a very indifferent Meath side whose only wins have come against poor Wexford and Laois sides. Odds of 10/11 could be the value bet of the weekend.

Our neighbours in Galway have been flying this year in the league and their journey to take on Derry in Glen will be another test of where they are at. Liam Sammon has recalled under 21 duo Adrian Faherty and Paul Conroy but opted to rest the in-form Gareth Bradshaw with Gary Sice coming in. Still Derry have been clear that winning the league is far from their list of priorities and while they won’t roll over, progress in the league is going to be a lot more beneficial for Galway, who have Messrs Joyce and Meehan in good form.

ON OPPPOSITE SIDES: Pictured together while on International Rules duty in 2005, we'll be hoping Padraig Joyce's (on left) Galway get the better of Derry's Sean Marty Lockhart this weekend.

ON OPPPOSITE SIDES: Pictured together while on International Rules duty in 2005, we'll be hoping Padraig Joyce's (on left) Galway get the better of Derry's Sean Marty Lockhart this weekend.

As mentioned above Laois have been in shocking form recently and all does not appear to be well for Tom Dempsey in his first year in charge. Losses to Meath and Cork aren’t bad in themselves but the abject performances are. Fermanagh need a result and were very unlucky to lose by a point to Armagh last week. At 5/4 we think they’ll get a win here.

And finally Kieran McGeeney’s Kildare have been the form team in Division 2. Three wins and a draw from four games is the form of a team heading for Division 1 and last week’s win against Monaghan in Clones was particularly impressive. McGeeney’s native county Armagh travel to Newbridge on Sunday with a former clubmate of McGeeney’s, Peter McDonnell, in charge.

While McDonnell will be able to call on the Crossmaglen contingent, he will be without Paul McGrane and Brendan Donaghy while there’s a big doubt over star full-forward Ronan Clarke.

 

PLOTTING AGAINST THE NATIVES: Pictured here as captain and assistant manager of their native Armagh in 2006, Kildare manager Kieran McGeeney (on right) and his assistant Paul Grimley will be hopng to get one over on their native county this weekend.

PLOTTING AGAINST THE NATIVES: Pictured here as captain and assistant manager of their native Armagh in 2006, Kildare manager Kieran McGeeney (on right) and his assistant Paul Grimley will be hopng to get one over on their native county this weekend.

After a very disappointing first year with Kildare, McGeeney appears to be proving his worth at management and TIALTNGO reckons 7/1 for them for Leinster this year could be value with the Dubs struggling (they were actually 16/1 at the start of the NFL!). For now though we’ll stick to taking them at 4/6 to account for Armagh.

So the bet in full – Monaghan to beat Meath (10/11); Galway to beat Derry (6/5); Fermanagh to beat Laois (5/4) and Kildare to beat Armagh (4/6).

Another bet TIALTNGO fancies the look of is, dare I say it, Roscommon Under 21’s to beat Mayo on Saturday. That the Rossies are 15/8 is absolutely crazy in a game where they should be marginal favourites. Its too big to ignore and that, combined with Sligo Under 21’s beating Leitrim (a near cert) at 1/2 will see you collect 43euro for a 10euro bet. Naturally I’ll be happy enough if Paddy Powers get to keep that money. We’ll return to these bets on Monday or Tuesday to see how we fared out.

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